Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:20:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9fa5…3bc2
other · 336 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$516 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$516 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$516
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses143 / 193
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)336 / 336
History coverage197d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit51%
Chart Positions 0 History 336 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$93
14 days+$133
30 days−$355
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? No 84¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? No 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Marina Bassols Ribera 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? No 30¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 33¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 18? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe Eliot Spizzirri 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +15%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $18 −$18 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $6 +$9 +150%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $10 +$7 +66%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$8 +160%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$7 +66%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $20 −$17 -82%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $19 −$18 -94%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $248 +$58 +23%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $10 −$1 -7%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $10 +$9 +85%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $13 −$8 -60%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $26 −$16 -59%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $15 +$4 +29%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $27 +$20 +74%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $23 −$12 -51%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $10 −$1 -7%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $37 −$37 -99%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $18 +$18 +97%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $15 +$17 +112%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $20 +$14 +70%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $10 +$6 +55%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bratislava: Vitaliy Sachko vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Jun 10 $10 +$4 +40%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $46 +$25 +56%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $43 −$25 -58%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $10 −$1 -11%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $59 +$26 +44%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $10 −$1 -12%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $46 +$21 +45%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $41 +$25 +60%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $42 −$27 -64%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Kirkov/Miedler vs Demoliner/Melo Jun 09 $10 −$1 -8%
Cattolica: Gonzalo Bueno vs Francesco Forti Jun 09 $56 +$15 +28%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $101 +$49 +49%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $11 −$11 -96%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $5 +$5 +96%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $26 +$36 +140%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $11 −$1 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $52 −$34 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 27 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 27 $42 −$40 -95%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $119 −$89 -75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% −$288
crypto 18% −$180
sports 14% +$28
politics 5% −$68
world 1% −$8
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $11 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 15¢ $6 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef SELL Mary Stoiana 1¢ $0 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 17¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 29¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 37¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 38¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 43¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef BUY Mary Stoiana 46¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 60¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL RUSTEC 100¢ $1 2h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker SELL Johan Alexander Rodriguez 70¢ $17 2h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 42¢ $10 2h
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $6 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova SELL Hannah Klugman 90¢ $19 3h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 49¢ $5 4h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 44¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 27¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 24¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 33¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 35¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 37¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Oliver Tarvet 49¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 SELL RUSTEC 77¢ $16 5h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 46¢ $10 5h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $14 24h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 20¢ $5 25h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 25h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 26¢ $10 25h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +0.3% -9.2% 53% 51% -1.0%
≤30d 169 -7.2% -16.0% 47% 41% -16.6%
≤90d 264 -16.9% -24.8% 42% 35% -18.3%
all 336 -7.5% -16.4% 43% 36% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.4% 36% -14.0%
10% -24.4% 29% -22.3%
15% -31.7% 23% -29.8%
20% -38.4% 19% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1471 history records