trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C | Sangal ALTERS | 15¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner | TDK | 23¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | SU Esports | 34¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Nongshim Red Force | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Team Liquid | 1¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5) | Jun 10 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $39 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 26 | $10 | −$1 | -7% |
| LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | May 22 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner | May 20 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 | May 20 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 20 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 20 | $7 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs | May 19 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Grou | May 19 | $6 | −$5 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs TDK - Map 2 Winner | May 19 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -28.9% | -35.7% | 0% | 0% | -38.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -38.1% | -44.0% | 0% | 0% | -38.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -38.1% | -44.0% | 0% | 0% | -38.0% |
| all | 18 | -38.1% | -44.0% | 0% | 0% | -38.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.0% | 0% | -38.0% |
| 10% | -49.4% | 0% | -44.0% |
| 15% | -54.3% | 0% | -49.4% |
| 20% | -58.7% | 0% | -54.3% |