Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:45:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f92…2c2d
other · 62 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
+$4,584 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,653 · open +$941
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,546
Realized+$2,653
Unrealized+$941
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses35 / 28
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Open positions21
Markets (closed)63 / 62
History coverage4d
Avg bet$597
Trades / day841.8
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 21 History 63 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,149
7 days+$2,653
14 days+$2,653
30 days+$2,653
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? No 64¢ 66¢ $2,021 $2,078 +$58 (+3%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 31¢ 26¢ $1,051 $857 −$195 (-19%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June? No 42¢ 92¢ $309 $680 +$370 (+120%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June? No 47¢ 94¢ $194 $387 +$192 (+99%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? No 69¢ 94¢ $283 $385 +$102 (+36%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 18¢ 76¢ $75 $319 +$243 (+323%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 90¢ 96¢ $239 $254 +$15 (+6%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June? No 55¢ 94¢ $134 $227 +$94 (+70%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in June? No 69¢ 96¢ $97 $136 +$39 (+40%)
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 16¢ 20¢ $97 $122 +$25 (+26%)
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? Yes 26¢ 22¢ $66 $55 −$12 (-18%)
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 48¢ $15 $22 +$7 (+43%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+29%)
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes 78¢ 80¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? Yes 66¢ 68¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? No 79¢ 83¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes 32¢ 34¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 20¢ 19¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-4%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by June 30, 2026? Yes 9¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-39%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade? No 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 13? No 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 13 $15 +$39 +259%
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 13? Jun 13 $2 −$19 -870%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3? Jun 13 $124 −$70 -57%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May? Jun 13 $1 −$71 -5707%
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before May 31, 2026? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May? Jun 13 $49 −$29 -58%
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026? Jun 13 $396 +$97 +24%
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $760 +$32 +4%
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $223 +$72 +32%
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 13 $763 +$283 +37%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 13 $1,420 −$75 -5%
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1,335 −$80 -6%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 13 $7,643 +$953 +12%
Will Lionel Messi score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $21 −$3 -14%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? Jun 12 $605 −$27 -4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $121 +$7 +6%
Will Lionel Messi score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $46 −$2 -4%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $109 +$34 +31%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 −$4 -14%
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? Jun 11 $133 +$22 +17%
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Sp Jun 11 $504 −$75 -15%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June? Jun 11 $642 +$49 +8%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 40.0 and 42.9 in June? Jun 11 $283 +$25 +9%
Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 11 $181 −$15 -8%
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 11 $1,128 +$271 +24%
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 11 $1,058 −$11 -1%
Will Steve Jurvetson be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 11 $114 +$12 +11%
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day Jun 11 $775 +$44 +6%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 11 $1,389 −$149 -11%
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? Jun 11 $225 −$28 -12%
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on Ju Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 10 $672 +$74 +11%
Tread FDV above $150M one day after launch Jun 10 $52 +$192 +370%
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $391 +$1 +0%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Jun 10 $42 +$2 +4%
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 10 $206 +$32 +15%
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 10 $306 +$1 +0%
Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 10 $68 +$18 +27%
Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac Jun 10 $123 +$15 +12%
Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 10 $120 −$24 -20%
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 10 $350 +$59 +17%
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 10 $88 +$26 +30%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Jun 10 $488 +$38 +8%
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French pr Jun 10 $359 −$6 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Jun 10 $788 −$67 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% +$2,712
world 22% +$53
tech 22% +$497
finance 3% +$345
politics 3% +$158
crypto 2% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 22¢ $66 3h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 22¢ $110 3h
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 4h
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 4h
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL No 83¢ $11 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 82¢ $8 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 19¢ $0 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 20¢ $4 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 24¢ $7 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 24¢ $7 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 24¢ $7 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 24¢ $7 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 24¢ $33 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 24¢ $10 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 27¢ $10 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 27¢ $8 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 35¢ $2 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 25¢ $15 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 32¢ $2 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? SELL Yes 30¢ $5 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 45¢ $2 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 51¢ $3 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 24¢ $4 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 5h
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 19¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+29.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +42.7% +29.1% 56% 40% -0.5%
≤30d 63 +42.7% +29.1% 56% 40% -0.5%
≤90d 63 +42.7% +29.1% 56% 40% -0.5%
all 63 +42.7% +29.1% 56% 40% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover841.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.1% 40% -0.5%
10% ← realistic here +16.8% 27% -10.0%
15% +5.5% 16% -18.7%
20% -4.9% 13% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,545.96 · official $5,445.14 · 3500 history records