trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -11.7% | -20.2% | 36% | 29% | -18.8% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 44% | 40% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 44% | 40% | -9.2% |
| all | 25 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 44% | 40% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.8% | 40% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -7.9% | 36% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -16.8% | 32% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -25.0% | 32% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 39¢ | 46¢ | $76 | $90 | +$14 (+18%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 62¢ | 60¢ | $28 | $28 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 3¢ | $24 | $12 | −$12 (-51%) |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Korea Republic? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 2 Korea Republic? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$31 | +153% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $102 | +$9 | +9% |
| Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Cabo Verde? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $23 | +$17 | +72% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia? | Jun 20 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$49 | +471% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $195 | +$35 | +18% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$30 | +192% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $25 | +$26 | +104% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$16 | +185% |
| Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the we | Jun 09 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $5 | +$18 | +339% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $20 | +$28 | +141% |