Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f83…75e3
crypto · 369 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$251 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$251 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$251
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses203 / 164
Open positions2
Markets (closed)367 / 369
History coverage33d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day48.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 367 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$177
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$3 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 09 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$2 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$5 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 06 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 06 $32 −$12 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$230
weather 1% −$21
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -11.2% -19.7% 67% 15% -13.9%
≤30d 294 -10.4% -19.0% 59% 21% -13.8%
≤90d 367 -14.0% -22.2% 55% 23% -14.6%
all 367 -14.0% -22.2% 55% 23% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 23% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 11% -22.8%
15% -36.4% 6% -30.3%
20% -42.7% 4% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.97 · official $1.97 (match) · 1830 history records