Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:34:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f83…dbcb
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$12 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses18 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day118.8
Drawdown49%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$12 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$11 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $11 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $13 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $7 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $4 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $7 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $8 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $12 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 50% -5.7%
≤30d 26 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 50% -5.7%
≤90d 26 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 50% -5.7%
all 26 -1.5% -10.9% 69% 50% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 50% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 35% -14.7%
15% -27.2% 19% -23.0%
20% -34.3% 8% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 129 history records