Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f81…f873 crypto 780 markets active 1h ago coverage 54d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 53d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,378 (-1%) realized −$1,378 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate96%747W / 33L
Whale WR93%big bets
Drawdown24%max
Avg bet$205per market
Trades / day50.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$114now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 54d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$948
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -1.4% -10.8% 97% 0% -7.8%
≤30d 518 -0.4% -9.9% 95% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 780 +0.1% -9.4% 96% 0% -8.7%
all 780 +0.1% -9.4% 96% 0% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -17.4%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.4%
20% -33.2% 0% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 93% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$49 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.58 per $1 lost it wins $1.58
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$114
Realized−$1,378
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses747 / 33
Whale WR (big bets)93%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)780 / 780
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$205
Trades / day50.8
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 780 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $165 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $164 −$99 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $269 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $239 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $134 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 16 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $60 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $165 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $244 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $300 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $165 −$101 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $300 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $244 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $240 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $118 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $395 +$10 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $308 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $168 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $159 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $75 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $80 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $160 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $62 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $80 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $60 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $60 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $75 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $80 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $80 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $75 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $114.28 · official $111.87 · 3500 history records