Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:09:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f78…9dbb
crypto · 446 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses344 / 100
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)444 / 446
History coverage138d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 444 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$13
14 days−$38
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 21¢ 24¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? No 62¢ 42¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-32%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Atlanta Dream 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Spurs 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +73%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $8 +$6 +79%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $9 −$8 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 10 $7 −$7 -99%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $8 +$1 +11%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 10 $6 +$3 +45%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $5 +$3 +52%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $5 +$4 +70%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $6 +$2 +25%
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5) Jun 06 $5 +$3 +52%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 04 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$7 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET Jun 02 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET Jun 01 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET Jun 01 $15 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $7 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Jun 01 $8 $0 +1%
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Jun 01 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET May 31 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET May 30 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET May 30 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET May 29 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET May 29 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET May 29 $19 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET May 28 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5PM ET May 27 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET May 27 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9PM ET May 27 $17 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET May 25 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET May 25 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET May 22 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11PM ET May 22 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET May 21 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET May 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET May 20 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET May 20 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6PM ET May 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET May 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET May 19 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET May 19 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET May 19 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 52% −$28
politics 16% −$1
other 13% +$10
sports 11% −$27
world 6% −$2
economics 1% −$1
culture 0% +$1
finance 0% +$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 21¢ $5 1h
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay SELL No 80¢ $6 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? BUY No 62¢ $5 11h
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) BUY Atlanta Dream 62¢ $5 43h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Under 55¢ $8 2d
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) BUY Knicks 57¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 84¢ $10 2d
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Spurs 67¢ $9 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 52¢ $5 2d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 63¢ $5 2d
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Boston Red Sox 55¢ $7 3d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 72¢ $4 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 90¢ $8 3d
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Boston Red Sox 69¢ $6 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 65¢ $5 4d
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay BUY No 83¢ $6 5d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 5d
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 80¢ $6 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 51¢ $10 7d
Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5) BUY Phoenix Mercury 65¢ $5 7d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 57¢ $5 7d
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) BUY Spurs 55¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $7 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $14 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $12 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $11 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $15 12d
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $8 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -12.8% -21.1% 53% 53% -20.9%
≤30d 69 -6.4% -15.3% 84% 13% -13.3%
≤90d 265 -2.4% -11.7% 83% 4% -10.7%
all 444 -2.0% -11.4% 77% 3% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 3% -10.2%
10% -19.8% 2% -18.8%
15% -27.6% 2% -26.6%
20% -34.7% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.21 · official $9.21 (match) · 1927 history records