Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T19:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f75…01dd crypto 383 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$137 (+2%) realized +$137 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate44%168W / 215L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day111.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$795
7 days+$38
14 days+$67
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$69
world 0% −$1
finance 0% −$1
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 374 -12.1% -20.4% 43% 39% -9.0%
≤30d 383 -5.4% -14.5% 44% 39% -8.7%
≤90d 383 -5.4% -14.5% 44% 39% -8.7%
all 383 -5.4% -14.5% 44% 39% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 39% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 37% -17.4%
15% -30.1% 33% -25.4%
20% -37.0% 28% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +28% → late -39% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$11 · ×1.31 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$137
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses168 / 215
Open positions0
Markets (closed)383 / 383
History coverage7d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day111.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 383 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$5 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 22 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$20 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 22 $6 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 22 $26 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$9 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 22 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $233 −$233 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 22 $21 +$21 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $255 −$255 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 22 $569 +$187 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 22 $512 +$238 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 22 $102 +$49 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 22 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 22 $11 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 22 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 22 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 22 $638 +$580 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 22 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 22 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 22 $230 −$230 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 +$7 +134%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $7 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $11 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $6 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1126 history records