trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | Under | 49¢ | 54¢ | $2,071 | $2,252 | +$181 (+9%) |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Haiti | 54¢ | 62¢ | $1,069 | $1,211 | +$142 (+13%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58¢ | 46¢ | $135 | $108 | −$27 (-20%) |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 47¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $54 | $0 | −$54 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Under | 44¢ | 0¢ | $938 | $0 | −$938 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Under | 41¢ | 0¢ | $1,086 | $0 | −$1,086 (-100%) |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Paraguay | 59¢ | 0¢ | $351 | $0 | −$351 (-100%) |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Paraguay | 57¢ | 0¢ | $3,171 | $0 | −$3,171 (-100%) |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 50¢ | 0¢ | $49 | $0 | −$49 (-100%) |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Under | 42¢ | 0¢ | $721 | $0 | −$721 (-100%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1,929 | $0 | −$1,929 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Under | 63¢ | 0¢ | $252 | $0 | −$252 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $761 | +$539 | +71% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $3,325 | +$2,461 | +74% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $2,367 | +$2,689 | +114% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $1,955 | −$1,929 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $849 | −$199 | -24% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $951 | −$938 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $254 | −$252 | -99% |
| Spread: United States (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $3,198 | −$3,171 | -99% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $355 | −$351 | -99% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $1,103 | −$1,086 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3,184 | −$1,284 | -40% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $1,883 | +$1,542 | +82% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 12 | $733 | −$721 | -98% |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | May 24 | $388 | −$112 | -29% |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 | May 20 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 | May 20 | $49 | −$49 | -99% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? | May 20 | $54 | −$54 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -32.6% | -39.0% | 31% | 31% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -44.3% | -49.6% | 24% | 24% | -21.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -44.3% | -49.6% | 24% | 24% | -21.9% |
| all | 17 | -44.3% | -49.6% | 24% | 24% | -21.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -49.6% | 24% | -21.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -54.4% | 24% | -29.4% |
| 15% | -58.8% | 24% | -36.2% |
| 20% | -62.8% | 24% | -42.5% |