Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f5d…91db
sports · 31 markets active 1h ago
9.0score
+$279 +51%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$275 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$30
Realized+$275
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses19 / 11
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions1
Markets (closed)30 / 31
History coverage169d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$64
7 days+$88
14 days+$88
30 days+$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 68¢ 78¢ $26 $30 +$4 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner FURIA 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Natus Vincere 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs FURIA 35¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner FURIA 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $48 +$28 +59%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $37 +$10 +28%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $22 −$13 -60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$9 +43%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $6 +$12 +197%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$9 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$20 +64%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $34 +$9 +28%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $54 +$11 +20%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Anish Giri vs. Praggnanandhaa R end in a draw? Apr 07 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw? Apr 07 $9 −$9 -97%
Will Andrey Esipenko vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw? Apr 07 $5 +$4 +70%
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? Apr 07 $5 −$4 -79%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 Mar 08 $16 +$7 +43%
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card) Mar 08 $49 +$87 +178%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs Feb 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Feb 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Feb 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner Feb 02 $1 +$1 +125%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Feb 02 $2 −$1 -50%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B Feb 02 $1 +$1 +122%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Feb 01 $2 +$1 +72%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Feb 01 $1 +$2 +170%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Feb 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships? Dec 30 $11 +$16 +150%
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship? Dec 30 $46 +$47 +102%
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? Dec 28 $45 +$57 +128%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$172
other 21% +$107
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 68¢ $26 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage SELL FURIA 100¢ $76 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $48 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $48 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $12 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 25¢ $9 8h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 77¢ $25 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 60¢ $22 9h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $29 24h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 69¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL BetBoom Team 100¢ $18 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $6 33h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $50 33h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $10 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $20 37h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $30 37h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 83¢ $44 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 75¢ $23 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $34 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 64¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 99¢ $65 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 82¢ $54 3d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? BUY Yes 37¢ $10 67d
Will Anish Giri vs. Praggnanandhaa R end in a draw? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 67d
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 67d
Will Andrey Esipenko vs. Javokhir Sindarov end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $9 67d
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? SELL Yes 7¢ $1 67d
Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Fabiano Caruana end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $9 67d
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 67d
Will Anish Giri vs. Praggnanandhaa R end in a draw? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 67d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)+9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +30.8% +18.3% 82% 82% +16.8%
≤30d 11 +30.8% +18.3% 82% 82% +16.8%
≤90d 16 +2.1% -7.6% 62% 62% +7.6%
all 30 +20.8% +9.3% 63% 63% +38.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +9.3% 63% +38.6%
10% -1.2% 57% +25.4%
15% -10.7% 50% +13.2%
20% -19.5% 40% +2.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.63 · official $29.63 (match) · 59 history records