trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +48.6% | +34.4% | 75% | 75% | +11.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +48.6% | +34.4% | 75% | 75% | +11.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +45.0% | +31.2% | 80% | 80% | +12.1% |
| all | 23 | +20.7% | +9.2% | 61% | 48% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +9.2% | 48% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -1.2% | 43% | -17.6% |
| 15% | -10.8% | 35% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -19.5% | 26% | -32.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 30 | $102 | −$36 | -35% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $102 | +$30 | +29% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $20 | +$24 | +118% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $59 | +$48 | +82% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | May 26 | $17 | +$5 | +31% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 17 | $1,908 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $200 in February? | Feb 25 | $658 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Feb 15 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Feb 15 | $2 | +$1 | +47% |
| Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Feb 03 | $21 | +$5 | +22% |
| Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Feb 02 | $331 | +$15 | +5% |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Jan 31 | $364 | −$83 | -23% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | Jan 30 | $1,142 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | Jan 29 | $148 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10AM ET | Jan 29 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jan 28 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.06? | Jan 24 | $12 | +$14 | +114% |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.05? | Jan 24 | $20 | +$18 | +88% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Dec 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | Dec 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Dec 04 | $4 | +$7 | +181% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Dec 04 | $4 | +$3 | +80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Dec 04 | $3 | +$1 | +36% |