Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:03:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f4f…2d1c
crypto · 1579 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$52 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$91 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$91
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1272 / 307
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1579 / 1579
History coverage68d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$0
14 days−$6
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 81¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 33¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 73¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 65¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 91¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 70¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 82¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 78¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 80¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$89
other 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 25h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 7d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 10d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 10d
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 10d
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 10d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 11d
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 11d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 11d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 11d
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +1.0% -8.6% 82% 59% -8.3%
≤30d 284 -7.5% -16.4% 72% 68% -15.9%
≤90d 1579 -4.1% -13.2% 81% 42% -13.0%
all 1579 -4.1% -13.2% 81% 42% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 42% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 14% -21.4%
15% -29.1% 6% -29.0%
20% -36.1% 3% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3238 history records