trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Patrick Mahomes win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Jun 03 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 03 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 03 | $1,090 | −$1,090 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 03 | $457 | −$457 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 03 | $2,070 | −$2,070 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 03 | $3,739 | −$3,739 | -100% |
| Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025? | Jun 03 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Will the 49ers win Super Bowl 2025? | Jan 07 | $326 | −$326 | -100% |
| Jones vs. Miocic | Nov 18 | $614 | −$614 | -100% |
| Oliveira vs. Chandler | Nov 18 | $13,030 | +$11,970 | +92% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | no closed markets | |||||
| all | 10 | -80.8% | -82.6% | 10% | 10% | +5.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -82.6% | 10% | +5.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -84.3% | 10% | -4.6% |
| 15% | -85.8% | 10% | -13.8% |
| 20% | -87.2% | 10% | -22.3% |