Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:22:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f46…5988
crypto · 132 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$64 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$70
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses104 / 26
Open positions2
Markets (closed)130 / 132
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 130 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$70
14 days−$70
30 days−$70
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 61¢ 86¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+40%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 65¢ 84¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 41¢ 14¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-64%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$6 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +72%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$5 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$72
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 130 -4.8% -13.8% 80% 33% -17.6%
≤30d 130 -4.8% -13.8% 80% 33% -17.6%
≤90d 130 -4.8% -13.8% 80% 33% -17.6%
all 130 -4.8% -13.8% 80% 33% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 33% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 18% -25.5%
15% -29.6% 8% -32.7%
20% -36.5% 5% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.97 · official $7.97 (match) · 290 history records