Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:39:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f41…8f27
other · 115 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,911 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,449 · open +$226
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,066
Realized+$1,449
Unrealized+$226
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses31 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$3,097
Open positions23
Markets (closed)92 / 115
History coverage25d
Avg bet$3,700
Trades / day128.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 23 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13,012
7 days+$10,742
14 days−$11,930
30 days+$1,449
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $7,443 $7,454 +$11 (+0%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 62¢ $570 $625 +$55 (+10%)
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $561 $570 +$9 (+2%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $416 $420 +$4 (+1%)
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 38¢ 70¢ $190 $353 +$163 (+86%)
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 34¢ $210 $335 +$125 (+60%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $326 $312 −$14 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 58¢ 46¢ $362 $290 −$72 (-20%)
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 30¢ 36¢ $116 $140 +$23 (+20%)
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $110 $110 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 87¢ 84¢ $102 $99 −$3 (-3%)
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $63 $68 +$4 (+7%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 20¢ 30¢ $41 $59 +$18 (+44%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-11%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $39 $39 +$0 (+0%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 34¢ 10¢ $129 $37 −$93 (-72%)
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 79¢ 80¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 73¢ 74¢ $21 $21 +$0 (+1%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 69¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 72¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 65¢ 66¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+2%)
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 54¢ 0¢ $12,960 $0 −$12,960 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $900 $0 −$900 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $6,251 +$1,182 +19%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2,688 +$237 +9%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $632 −$289 -46%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $62,196 +$10,105 +16%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $14 −$1 -4%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $66,600 +$1,801 +3%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $47,017 +$11,819 +25%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $11,201 +$692 +6%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,981 +$791 +40%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 13 $83 +$17 +20%
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $26,460 −$13,460 -51%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $460 +$540 +117%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $800 +$200 +25%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $600 −$600 -100%
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,480 +$2,520 +170%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $12,240 +$5,760 +47%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $9,610 −$7,425 -77%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $900 −$900 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $9,990 +$8,510 +85%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $750 +$250 +33%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $623 −$623 -100%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $269 −$269 -100%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,425 +$1,075 +75%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $594 +$406 +68%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $504 −$504 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $18,371 +$6,062 +33%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $5,460 −$3,931 -72%
Will Peru win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $182 −$182 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1,885 −$1,885 -100%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $119 −$119 -100%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $19 −$19 -100%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $213 +$4 +2%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $281 −$43 -15%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $9,199 −$8,519 -93%
Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw? Jun 07 $2,222 −$2,217 -100%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $220 $0 +0%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $281 −$275 -98%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $855 −$840 -98%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $95 −$95 -100%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $72 −$72 -100%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $338 −$338 -100%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $62 −$62 -100%
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $125 −$125 -100%
Will Madagascar win on 2026-06-02? Jun 06 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$18,480
sports 36% +$24,084
crypto 1% −$3,927
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $10 2m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $11 2m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $11 2m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $12 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $8 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $36 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $2 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $11 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $52 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $41 3m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $5 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $5 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $1 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $7 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $45 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $52 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $52 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $7 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $1 4m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $3 5m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $6 5m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $22 5m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $2 5m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 52¢ $10 5m
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 66¢ $7 13m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $6 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $4 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $1 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 6¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-52.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 -29.9% -36.6% 45% 35% -5.9%
≤30d 92 -47.1% -52.1% 34% 25% -9.0%
≤90d 92 -47.1% -52.1% 34% 25% -9.0%
all 92 -47.1% -52.1% 34% 25% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.1% 25% -9.0%
10% -56.7% 20% -17.7%
15% ← realistic here -60.9% 14% -25.7%
20% -64.7% 10% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,066.49 · official $11,066.50 (match) · 3268 history records