Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:14:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f35…74e2
other · 258 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$552
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses194 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions51
Markets (closed)207 / 258
History coverage42d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 51 History 207 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$15
14 days−$2
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 95¢ 92¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-4%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 92¢ 95¢ $32 $34 +$1 (+4%)
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $27 $28 +$1 (+4%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 97¢ 95¢ $25 $24 −$0 (-2%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 91¢ 98¢ $16 $17 +$1 (+8%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 95¢ 76¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-20%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 89¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-6%)
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? No 95¢ 94¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 97¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 86¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No 90¢ 98¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 94¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 85¢ 90¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? No 96¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? No 97¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 94¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 94¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? No 97¢ 95¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 96¢ 94¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 94¢ 82¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $27 +$1 +4%
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? Jun 14 $3 $0 +8%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 11 $10 +$1 +5%
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Ange Jun 11 $6 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 10? Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $10 +$1 +7%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $4 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 +4%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 10 $6 $0 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $10 +$1 +6%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $7 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 9? Jun 10 $10 $0 +3%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $4 +$1 +15%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $6 $0 +3%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $7 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $9 $0 +4%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $14 +$1 +5%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 09 $3 $0 +5%
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? Jun 09 $13 −$11 -86%
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $9 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotov Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $6 $0 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $8 $0 +3%
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? Jun 09 $10 $0 +3%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $10 +$1 +6%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $8 +$1 +6%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m? Jun 08 $6 $0 +1%
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 6? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 08 $10 $0 +3%
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +5%
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 08 $10 $0 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Atto Jun 08 $10 +$1 +6%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $10 +$1 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 37% −$12
weather 19% +$19
world 11% +$1
sports 8% +$12
politics 8% −$46
crypto 6% −$6
tech 4% +$7
finance 4% +$1
culture 2% +$6
economics 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? BUY No 93¢ $9 1h
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 97¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $10 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 94¢ $10 1h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 96¢ $6 25h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $6 25h
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 94¢ $4 36h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? BUY No 94¢ $4 36h
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 96¢ $6 36h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $4 37h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY No 96¢ $5 37h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY No 96¢ $5 37h
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 97¢ $5 2d
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 93¢ $4 2d
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 97¢ $7 2d
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $9 2d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $8 2d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 94¢ $6 2d
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 97¢ $7 2d
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $5 3d
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? BUY No 70¢ $1 3d
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY No 93¢ $4 3d
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY Yes 93¢ $3 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 96¢ $5 3d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11? BUY No 94¢ $8 3d
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria BUY Federico Coria 97¢ $4 3d
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $2 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 95¢ $3 3d
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY No 95¢ $4 3d
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax BUY Thomas Faurel 99¢ $6 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +2.9% -6.9% 98% 3% -6.3%
≤30d 147 +1.1% -8.5% 94% 17% -7.9%
≤90d 207 +0.1% -9.5% 94% 13% -9.0%
all 207 +0.1% -9.5% 94% 13% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 13% -9.0%
10% -18.1% 3% -17.7%
15% -26.0% 1% -25.6%
20% -33.3% 0% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $552.00 · official $552.01 (match) · 505 history records