Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:33:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9F 0x9f32…9d0f crypto 1119 markets active 7d ago coverage 63d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$88 (-4%) realized −$88 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate51%568W / 551L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day39.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$32
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$179
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -6.3% -15.2% 48% 39% -13.1%
≤30d 391 -8.9% -17.5% 42% 29% -17.1%
≤90d 1119 -8.2% -16.9% 51% 35% -17.6%
all 1119 -8.2% -16.9% 51% 35% -17.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 35% -17.6%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 22% -25.5%
15% -32.2% 15% -32.7%
20% -38.8% 10% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.6 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

63d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses568 / 551
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1119 / 1119
History coverage63d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day39.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1119 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -83%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3018 history records