trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +131.3% | +109.3% | 100% | 100% | +109.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +12.8% | +2.1% | 33% | 33% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 38% | 38% | -12.7% |
| all | 33 | +8.5% | -1.8% | 45% | 42% | -3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.8% | 42% | -3.0% |
| 10% | -11.2% | 42% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -19.8% | 42% | -20.7% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 39% | -28.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 26¢ | $20 | $30 | +$10 (+49%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 (+102%) |
| Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 22¢ | 38¢ | $10 | $17 | +$7 (+75%) |
| Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $20 | +$27 | +131% |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| Gavi Paez: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Ryan Gravenberch: 1+ assists | Jun 14 | $5 | +$29 | +568% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -81% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 07 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 06 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli | Jun 05 | $27 | −$1 | -5% |
| Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev | Jun 05 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska | Jun 04 | $20 | +$19 | +94% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $10 | +$9 | +88% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | May 30 | $10 | +$18 | +173% |
| Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $5 | +$6 | +116% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $57 | −$55 | -96% |
| Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 14 | $5 | +$3 | +56% |
| Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 14 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 14 | $7 | −$7 | -96% |
| Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | May 14 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $52 | +$33 | +64% |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 30 | $180 | −$55 | -31% |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Nov 22 | $170 | −$82 | -48% |
| Will Noah Wyle win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Seri | Sep 15 | $100 | +$10 | +10% |
| Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series? | Sep 15 | $100 | +$83 | +83% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14? | Sep 14 | $50 | +$36 | +72% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-05? | May 15 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01? | Dec 01 | $50 | +$56 | +112% |
| Will Liverpool beat Real Madrid? | Nov 27 | $25 | +$22 | +88% |
| Will Brighton win on 2024-11-23? | Nov 23 | $20 | +$35 | +178% |