Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T17:41:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
9F 0x9f24…e803 sports 150 markets active 1h ago coverage 137d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$25 (+0%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate61%91W / 59L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$126per market
Trades / day4.6pace
Fees−$306est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$139
14 days+$186
30 days−$167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 97% −$130
other 3% −$5
tech 0% −$3
crypto 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -6.9% -15.8% 67% 58% -6.3%
≤30d 81 -5.0% -14.1% 58% 40% -10.8%
≤90d 146 +0.9% -8.7% 62% 46% -10.2%
all 150 -0.5% -10.0% 61% 45% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 45% -10.2%
10% -18.6% 25% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 17% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 15% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
26% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$30 vs −$49 · ×0.62 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

137d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses91 / 59
Est. fees paid−$306
Open positions0
Markets (closed)150 / 150
History coverage137d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 150 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverry Jun 24 $405 +$46 +11%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Fiona Crawley Jun 24 $301 +$37 +12%
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro Jun 24 $403 +$99 +24%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue Jun 24 $352 +$90 +26%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 23 $178 −$70 -39%
Plovdiv: Philip Henning vs Andres Santamarta Jun 23 $204 −$146 -72%
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne Manas Jun 23 $306 −$92 -30%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Jun 22 $402 +$69 +17%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 22 $273 +$18 +7%
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul Jun 21 $704 +$120 +17%
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz Jun 20 $110 −$80 -72%
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolo Jun 20 $301 +$47 +16%
Nottingham 2: Jaime Faria vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 16 $60 −$1 -1%
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron Jun 16 $13 −$8 -59%
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones Jun 15 $302 +$56 +19%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $40 −$1 -2%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Terence Atmane Jun 08 $36 −$36 -100%
Libema Open, Qualification: Niels Visker vs Elias Ymer Jun 07 $108 −$18 -16%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $85 +$7 +8%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Alina Charaeva Jun 07 $77 +$15 +20%
Perugia: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Jun 06 $84 −$5 -6%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 06 $35 +$19 +55%
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Henrique Rocha Jun 06 $98 −$12 -12%
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 06 $80 −$17 -21%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukov Jun 06 $55 +$23 +43%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $45 −$45 -100%
Centurion 2: Khololwam Montsi vs Alexander Donski Jun 06 $160 +$31 +19%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $105 +$76 +72%
Heilbronn: Marco Trungelliti vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 05 $22 +$3 +14%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 05 $94 −$3 -4%
Makarska: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 05 $100 +$33 +33%
Prostejov: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Lautaro Midon Jun 05 $79 +$7 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $74 −$19 -26%
Perugia: Marco Cecchinato vs Timofey Skatov Jun 05 $35 +$15 +44%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 05 $80 +$45 +56%
Centurion 2: Giles Hussey vs Philip Henning Jun 05 $96 −$93 -97%
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 05 $40 +$26 +66%
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran Jun 05 $69 −$14 -21%
Test Series England vs. New Zealand: England vs New Zealand - Who wins Jun 05 $20 −$20 -100%
Makarska: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Noma Noha Akugue Jun 04 $100 +$5 +5%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling Jun 04 $102 +$26 +25%
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Jun 04 $110 +$7 +7%
Tyler: Edas Butvilas vs Andre Ilagan Jun 04 $20 +$6 +30%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $44 +$6 +14%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $360 +$32 +9%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 04 $102 +$11 +11%
Foggia: Carole Monnet vs Tatiana Prozorova Jun 04 $10 +$1 +7%
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 04 $204 +$12 +6%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit Kopriva Jun 04 $266 −$86 -32%
Heilbronn: Jan Choinski vs Luka Mikrut Jun 04 $100 −$81 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverry SELL Tomas Etcheverry 64¢ $451 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverry BUY Tomas Etcheverry 41¢ $102 1h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Tomas Etcheverry BUY Tomas Etcheverry 64¢ $303 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Fiona Crawley SELL Fiona Crawley 98¢ $338 1h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Fiona Crawley BUY Fiona Crawley 87¢ $301 1h
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro SELL Emma Navarro 100¢ $271 1h
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 85¢ $201 1h
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro SELL Emma Navarro 88¢ $231 2h
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarro BUY Emma Navarro 67¢ $202 2h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue SELL Katherine Sebov 100¢ $442 3h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue BUY Katherine Sebov 63¢ $51 3h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akugue BUY Katherine Sebov 83¢ $302 3h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevic SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic $22 25h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevic BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 26¢ $102 25h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevic SELL Aleksandar Kovacevic 25¢ $86 25h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Aleksandar Kovacevic BUY Aleksandar Kovacevic 21¢ $75 25h
Plovdiv: Philip Henning vs Andres Santamarta SELL Philip Henning 10¢ $58 26h
Plovdiv: Philip Henning vs Andres Santamarta BUY Philip Henning 34¢ $204 26h
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne Manas SELL Eero Vasa 16¢ $95 31h
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne Manas BUY Eero Vasa 33¢ $204 31h
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne Manas SELL Eero Vasa 39¢ $120 32h
Plovdiv: Eero Vasa vs Manoj Dhamne Manas BUY Eero Vasa 32¢ $102 32h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? SELL Yes 100¢ $471 46h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 88¢ $201 46h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 82¢ $201 47h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo SELL Juan Manuel Cerundolo 27¢ $3 2d
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo SELL Juan Manuel Cerundolo 46¢ $288 2d
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo 39¢ $204 2d
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo BUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo 51¢ $70 2d
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul SELL Francisco Cerundolo 100¢ $379 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 656 history records