Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:20:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f1f…0b36
sports · 336 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$504 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$525 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$204
Realized−$525
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses150 / 176
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions10
Markets (closed)326 / 336
History coverage230d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 10 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$246
7 days+$240
14 days+$284
30 days+$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $40 $42 +$2 (+6%)
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 30¢ $21 $30 +$8 (+40%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $28 $28 +$0 (+2%)
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $21 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-25%)
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-18%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+34%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-19%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5 Under 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Spurs 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens Canadiens 42¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will James Magnussen win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) Jirí Procházka 50¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Enhanced Games: Fred Kerley 100m Sprint Time Under 9.76? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) Avalanche 35¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Kopp Sandro Kopp 36¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff Alexander Bublik 78¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88? No 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $55 +$95 +171%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $15 +$42 +276%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $48 +$52 +109%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $24 +$76 +325%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $24 −$24 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $33 −$32 -98%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $23 −$4 -16%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $20 $0 -1%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $28 +$22 +78%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $17 +$32 +186%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $51 +$49 +97%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 06 $23 +$17 +73%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $24 +$26 +109%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $50 −$50 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 01 $9 +$1 +14%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Valentin Vacherot May 29 $51 −$1 -2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ma May 29 $9 +$11 +134%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28? May 28 $3 −$3 -99%
Kosice: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Kopp May 28 $36 −$36 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas May 27 $62 −$61 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5 May 27 $3 −$3 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 May 27 $20 −$20 -98%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 May 27 $27 −$26 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 27 $43 −$42 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hamad Medjedovic May 27 $106 +$44 +42%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $103 +$97 +93%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 27 $20 +$10 +53%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Clement Tabur May 26 $30 $0 +1%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) May 26 $27 −$26 -99%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 26 $26 −$26 -99%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff May 26 $20 −$20 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5 May 26 $60 +$40 +67%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 May 26 $19 +$21 +114%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens May 26 $58 +$42 +73%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 26 $32 +$28 +89%
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5 May 25 $10 −$10 -98%
Will James Magnussen win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Games? May 24 $16 −$16 -98%
Enhanced Games: Fred Kerley 100m Sprint Time Under 9.76? May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Enhanced Games: Kristian Gkolomeev 50m Freestyle Time Under 20.88? May 24 $9 −$9 -98%
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) May 24 $18 −$18 -98%
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights May 24 $59 −$58 -99%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 24 $105 +$55 +52%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) May 24 $34 +$41 +124%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 24 $34 +$21 +60%
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Apr 12 $29 −$29 -100%
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Apr 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) Apr 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Apr 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$745
other 8% +$275
politics 3% −$44
world 0% +$11
crypto 0% −$21
weather 0% +$9
culture 0% −$10
economics 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $51 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $29 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $15 26h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 26h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $24 43h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $48 43h
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 12¢ $12 2d
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 13¢ $15 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $24 2d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $33 2d
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $19 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $19 2d
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 35¢ $7 3d
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 35¢ $8 3d
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) BUY Knicks 56¢ $24 3d
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Knicks 35¢ $3 3d
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) BUY Knicks 56¢ $5 3d
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 21¢ $21 3d
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 3d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $5 3d
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 3d
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 21¢ $21 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $51 7d
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) BUY Knicks 57¢ $23 8d
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies BUY Philadelphia Phillies 47¢ $24 8d
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 36¢ $55 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev BUY Rafael Jodar 25¢ $50 12d
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 17d
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17d
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 28? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +75.3% +58.6% 55% 55% +61.5%
≤30d 46 +4.8% -5.1% 48% 46% +8.4%
≤90d 67 -12.5% -20.8% 34% 33% -7.2%
all 326 -3.3% -12.5% 46% 44% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 44% -12.8%
10% -20.9% 43% -21.2%
15% -28.5% 42% -28.8%
20% -35.5% 41% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $203.80 · official $203.58 (match) · 860 history records