Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:13:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5

score

9F 0x9f1e…778d sports 22 markets active 1h ago coverage 2d

RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover

Total PnL +$4 (+16%) realized +$4 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +489% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt +392% what you keep after slip

Net edge+392%after slip

Net WR100%break-even

Win rate100%7W / 0L

Drawdown0%max

Avg bet$1per market

Trades / day15.5pace

Fees−$1est.

Kalshi-fit95%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +100%

net ROI/market (all)+432.6%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	7	+488.7%	+432.6%	100%	100%	+329.6%
≤30d	7	+488.7%	+432.6%	100%	100%	+329.6%
≤90d	7	+488.7%	+432.6%	100%	100%	+329.6%
all	7	+488.7%	+432.6%	100%	100%	+329.6%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover15.5 tr/day

realistic slip~9%

edge survives to20%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+432.6%	100%	+329.6%
10%	+381.6%	100%	+288.5%
15%	+335.1%	100%	+251.0%
20%	+292.4%	100%	+216.6%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 38% · top 2 67% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +375% too few recent

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +489% · $-wt +375% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

+$7 vs — no data

Profit factor

— no data

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized+$4

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses7 / 0

Est. fees paid−$1

Open positions0

Markets (closed)7 / 22

History coverage2d

Avg bet$1

Trades / day15.5

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 7 Trades

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Will Fran	Jun 17	$3	+$19	+617%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will Fran	Jun 17	$3	+$15	+490%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A	Jun 17	$2	+$5	+243%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	Jun 17	$2	+$3	+168%
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will IR Iran vs. New	Jun 16	$0	+$3	+1444%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	Jun 16	$1	+$2	+320%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score	Jun 16	$3	+$4	+139%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-	BUY	6¢	$1	46m
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? AND	BUY	1¢	$0	16h
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 A	BUY	1¢	$0	16h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A	BUY	29¢	$2	24h
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-	BUY	0¢	$1	24h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Will Fran	BUY	17¢	$3	24h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Will Fran	BUY	14¢	$3	25h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will N	BUY	7¢	$1	31h
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? AND Will France vs. Senegal	BUY	0¢	$0	31h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND France vs	BUY	18¢	$2	31h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	BUY	37¢	$2	31h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND	BUY	1¢	$1	31h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	BUY	26¢	$1	32h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5 AND Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end	BUY	3¢	$1	32h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score	SELL Yes	100¢	$6	32h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	BUY	1¢	$1	35h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a dra	BUY	1¢	$1	35h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND	BUY	2¢	$1	35h
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score	BUY Yes	41¢	$3	35h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	BUY	23¢	$1	35h
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 AND Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5	BUY	2¢	$1	36h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will IR Iran vs. New	BUY	6¢	$0	36h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 AND Will U	BUY	3¢	$1	36h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $4.96 · 29 history records