Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9F
0x9f1c…94d3
crypto · 202 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$1,694 +42%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,708 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$163
Realized+$1,708
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses68 / 126
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions7
Markets (closed)194 / 202
History coverage116d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 7 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$69
14 days−$69
30 days+$1,383
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $48 $48 −$0 (-1%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals Yes 23¢ 20¢ $39 $35 −$4 (-11%)
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $20 $21 +$1 (+3%)
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 42¢ 32¢ $20 $15 −$5 (-23%)
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? Yes 37¢ 35¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-5%)
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe Yamal 30¢ 24¢ $14 $12 −$2 (-17%)
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 44¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Over 22¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 58¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 41¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry Terence Atmane 29¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier Daniel Altmaier 37¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov Grigor Dimitrov 55¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $38 −$37 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $28 −$27 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 26 $226 −$222 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier May 26 $52 −$51 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff May 26 $69 +$221 +321%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Ivanov May 26 $99 +$111 +112%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov May 19 $69 −$68 -98%
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry May 18 $50 −$49 -98%
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 17 $53 +$180 +338%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? May 16 $62 +$747 +1204%
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? May 16 $60 +$566 +950%
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 16 $87 +$67 +78%
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov May 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov Apr 23 $108 −$106 -99%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $54 −$53 -98%
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Apr 18 $56 −$2 -4%
Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer Apr 17 $56 −$56 -100%
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Apr 08 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31? Apr 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? Apr 08 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 31 $25 +$21 +84%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $20 +$37 +185%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $26 +$25 +95%
Will Czechia vs. Denmark end in a draw? Mar 31 $20 +$47 +237%
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Dimitar Kuzman Mar 31 $18 −$18 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Mattia Bellucci vs Reda Bennani Mar 31 $10 −$10 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Schiessl vs Nikles Mar 31 $28 −$28 -100%
Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $15 −$15 -100%
Miyazaki: James Kent Trotter vs Dan Added Mar 31 $33 −$33 -100%
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsuda Mar 31 $54 +$35 +65%
Miyazaki: Yi Zhou vs Yasutaka Uchiyama Mar 31 $55 −$1 -2%
Pistons vs. Thunder Mar 31 $20 −$20 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Jesper de Jong vs Yannick Hanfmann Mar 31 $80 −$80 -100%
Miyazaki: Ryotaro Taguchi vs Paul Jubb Mar 31 $20 +$21 +103%
Miyazaki: Blake Ellis vs Naoya Honda Mar 31 $20 +$31 +154%
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Justin Boulais Mar 31 $34 +$16 +48%
Credit One Charleston Open: Viktoriya Tomova vs Jennifer Brady Mar 30 $165 +$81 +49%
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Kaichi Uchida Mar 30 $66 −$66 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto Mar 30 $22 −$22 -100%
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halys Mar 30 $22 +$58 +269%
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Stefano Travaglia Mar 30 $22 +$56 +257%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils Mar 30 $22 +$44 +202%
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines Mar 30 $20 −$20 -100%
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Mar 29 $20 −$20 -100%
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats Mar 29 $20 −$20 -100%
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Busta Mar 28 $106 +$150 +142%
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Mar 28 $10 +$16 +155%
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% +$71
other 25% +$1,548
crypto 8% +$78
politics 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY Yes 23¢ $40 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 BUY 32¢ $15 1h
Korea Republic leading at halftime? BUY Yes 29¢ $38 14h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 22¢ $28 20h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $50 41h
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? BUY Yes 37¢ $15 41h
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe BUY Yamal 30¢ $14 41h
I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Mess BUY Yes 42¢ $20 41h
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World BUY Yes 39¢ $20 41h
Will Senegal be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 22¢ $20 41h
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 41¢ $226 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier BUY Daniel Altmaier 37¢ $52 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff SELL Jan-Lennard Struff 99¢ $290 16d
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Jan-Lennard Struff BUY Jan-Lennard Struff 23¢ $69 17d
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Ivanov SELL Mathys Erhard 99¢ $211 17d
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Ivan Ivanov BUY Mathys Erhard 46¢ $99 17d
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov BUY Grigor Dimitrov 44¢ $69 24d
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry BUY Terence Atmane 19¢ $4 25d
Hamburg European Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverry BUY Terence Atmane 30¢ $46 25d
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $809 26d
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $626 26d
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? SELL Yes 100¢ $154 26d
Will Bulgaria win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? BUY Yes 22¢ $53 26d
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $60 26d
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $62 26d
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 55¢ $87 26d
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov BUY Grigor Dimitrov 55¢ $6 29d
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov BUY Grigor Dimitrov 55¢ $15 29d
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrov BUY Grigor Dimitrov 55¢ $6 29d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 14 +157.3% +132.8% 43% 43% +123.5%
≤90d 76 +24.5% +12.7% 41% 39% +32.6%
all 194 +24.0% +12.2% 35% 34% +30.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +12.2% 34% +30.8%
10% +1.4% 34% +18.3%
15% -8.4% 33% +6.8%
20% -17.4% 31% -3.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $162.78 · official $177.78 · 471 history records