Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T15:41:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ef2…0374 crypto 76 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$2 (-1%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate84%64W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day21.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -1.0% -10.5% 84% 26% -10.8%
≤30d 76 -1.0% -10.5% 84% 26% -10.8%
≤90d 76 -1.0% -10.5% 84% 26% -10.8%
all 76 -1.0% -10.5% 84% 26% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover21.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 26% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 8% -19.4%
15% -26.9% 3% -27.2%
20% -34.0% 1% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses64 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)76 / 76
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day21.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 76 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 152 history records