Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ef1…614d
crypto · 1524 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$413 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$413 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$413
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses1055 / 469
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1524 / 1524
History coverage56d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day36.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1524 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$188
14 days−$233
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$368
sports 10% −$45
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 335 -14.1% -22.3% 55% 30% -19.2%
≤30d 893 -3.8% -12.9% 52% 42% -14.4%
≤90d 1524 -2.8% -12.1% 69% 25% -12.2%
all 1524 -2.8% -12.1% 69% 25% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 25% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 24% -20.6%
15% -28.2% 24% -28.3%
20% -35.2% 23% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records