Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:07:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ef0…8850 crypto 908 markets active 19h ago coverage 67d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 66d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (50 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$66 (-0%) realized −$66 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate47%447W / 512L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day50.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 67d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,277
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (50 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -59.5% -63.4% 22% 20% -59.6%
≤30d 559 -16.4% -24.3% 45% 44% -18.7%
≤90d 959 -11.6% -20.0% 47% 44% -15.7%
all 959 -11.6% -20.0% 47% 44% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover50.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 44% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 41% -23.8%
15% -34.7% 34% -31.1%
20% -41.1% 26% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$17 vs −$19 · ×0.9 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

67d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$66
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses447 / 512
Open positions0
Markets (closed)959 / 908
History coverage67d ⚠
Avg bet$32
Trades / day50.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 959 Trades
no open positions (250 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$6 -127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$6 -131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$18 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$15 -147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11? Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $31 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $22 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $21 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $42 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $20 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $16 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $27 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $21 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $39 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $21 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $24 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $21 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $31 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $21 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $6 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $16 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records