Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:36:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ef0…113e crypto 810 markets active 6d ago coverage 54d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 54d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$950 (-5%) realized −$950 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate61%494W / 316L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day53.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$118
14 days−$252
30 days−$655
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$1,321
other 1% −$77
sports 1% +$6
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -27.3% -34.2% 47% 35% -40.7%
≤30d 245 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 38% -16.1%
≤90d 810 -7.4% -16.3% 61% 41% -16.3%
all 810 -7.4% -16.3% 61% 41% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 41% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 26% -24.3%
15% -31.6% 18% -31.6%
20% -38.3% 12% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$11 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$950
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses494 / 316
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)810 / 810
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$24
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 810 Trades
no open positions (22 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$53 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $82 −$79 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $78 +$13 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $53 +$17 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $104 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $54 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$11 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $53 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $52 +$20 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $257 −$201 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$9 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $229 +$20 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $388 +$27 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $431 +$72 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $151 +$11 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $378 +$9 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $318 +$73 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $52 −$51 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $103 +$56 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $311 −$91 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $152 +$5 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $51 −$46 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $151 +$30 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $64 +$7 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $11 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $107 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $166 −$12 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $51 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $566 +$26 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $43 −$43 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $51 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $46 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $34 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $77 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $51 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $70 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records