Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:49:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ee8…2454 crypto 670 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (545 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$2,556 (-1%) realized −$2,265 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate79%551W / 150L
Whale WR83%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$332per market
Trades / day545.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$418now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$934
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (545 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 701 -2.5% -11.8% 79% 2% -9.9%
≤30d 701 -2.5% -11.8% 79% 2% -9.9%
≤90d 701 -2.5% -11.8% 79% 2% -9.9%
all 701 -2.5% -11.8% 79% 2% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover545.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 2% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 2% -18.6%
15% -27.9% 1% -26.4%
20% -35.0% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 83% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$33 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$418
Realized−$2,265
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses551 / 150
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)701 / 670
History coverage4d
Avg bet$332
Trades / day545.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 701 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 99¢ 98¢ $198 $197 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage 3DMAX 82¢ 100¢ $37 $45 +$8 (+23%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage EYEBALLERS 65¢ 100¢ $26 $40 +$14 (+53%)
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud Casper Ruud 71¢ 100¢ $18 $25 +$7 (+40%)
Monza: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Hugo Gaston Hugo Gaston 77¢ 100¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $8 $15 +$7 (+80%)
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulic Fajing Sun 33¢ 100¢ $5 $15 +$10 (+206%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $7 $13 +$6 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$3 (+92%)
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Elina Avanesyan 52¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+92%)
Madrid: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalieva Elvina Kalieva 37¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatsch Tamara Korpatsch 48¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+108%)
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sinja Kraus vs Sorana Cirstea Sorana Cirstea 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage PARIVISION 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Madrid: Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigato Darja Semenistaja 34¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Jun 15 $26 +$14 +53%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud Jun 15 $18 +$7 +40%
Monza: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Hugo Gaston Jun 15 $15 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 +$7 +80%
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Philip Sekulic Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$3 +92%
Madrid: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 15 $3 +$2 +92%
Madrid: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalieva Jun 15 $2 +$3 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatsch Jun 15 $18 −$18 -100%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sinja Kraus vs Sorana Cirstea Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$85 -15417%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$173 -2838%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$580 -25760%
Madrid: Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigato Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 15 $11 −$12 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$235 -5340%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Fujian Sturgeons Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$205 -8031%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $198 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $417.59 · official $403.59 · 3500 history records