Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T15:19:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ee5…f677 crypto 1108 markets active 0h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (70 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$266 (-3%) realized −$266 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate51%622W / 609L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day69.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$343
7 days−$350
14 days−$1,213
30 days−$1,071
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$521
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (70 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 238 -52.4% -56.9% 28% 24% -39.2%
≤30d 913 -19.6% -27.3% 45% 35% -21.0%
≤90d 1231 -12.3% -20.7% 51% 42% -16.7%
all 1231 -12.3% -20.7% 51% 42% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 42% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 34% -24.7%
15% -35.2% 24% -32.0%
20% -41.5% 14% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late -33% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$266
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses622 / 609
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1231 / 1108
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day69.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1231 Trades
no open positions (253 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16 Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on April 19? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records