Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:15:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9ee2…d2d7 crypto 69 markets active 6d ago coverage 591d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$402 (-18%) realized −$402 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -22% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate45%31W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day0.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$384
14 days−$384
30 days−$384
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 59% −$485
other 26% $0
politics 8% −$1
sports 5% +$68
finance 1% $0
culture 1% $0
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -28.9% -35.7% 38% 38% -38.8%
≤30d 48 -28.9% -35.7% 38% 38% -38.8%
≤90d 54 -29.5% -36.2% 39% 35% -42.0%
all 69 -22.2% -29.6% 45% 29% -26.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.6% 29% -26.2%
10% -36.4% 29% -33.3%
15% -42.5% 29% -39.7%
20% -48.2% 29% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -36% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -22% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -37% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$23 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.53 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

591d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$402
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses31 / 38
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage591d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 69 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$22 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$20 +78%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$28 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$29 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +82%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +81%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$13 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$21 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$15 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$26 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$40 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$19 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$30 +115%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Panna Udvardy Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET May 18 $46 −$46 -98%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 18 $19 +$18 +91%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $32 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $14 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $34 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $18 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $54 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $55 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $49 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $31 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 168 history records