Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ee0…1006
crypto · 1592 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$9,392 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,372 · open +$809
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,698
Realized+$8,372
Unrealized+$809
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses669 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$51
Open positions100
Markets (closed)844 / 1592
History coverage17d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day192.7
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 100 History 844 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,221
7 days+$7,806
14 days+$8,278
30 days+$8,372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 31¢ 81¢ $521 $1,351 +$830 (+160%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1,132 $1,124 −$9 (-1%)
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No 51¢ 58¢ $500 $574 +$74 (+15%)
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No 46¢ 52¢ $500 $560 +$60 (+12%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 90¢ 93¢ $519 $537 +$18 (+3%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 76¢ 81¢ $500 $536 +$36 (+7%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Yes 71¢ 100¢ $334 $468 +$134 (+40%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $338 $327 −$12 (-3%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 51¢ 100¢ $130 $253 +$123 (+94%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $162 $157 −$6 (-3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $153 $153 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Yes 53¢ 52¢ $121 $120 −$1 (-1%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? No 89¢ 100¢ $99 $112 +$12 (+12%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 44¢ 100¢ $50 $112 +$62 (+125%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 94¢ 100¢ $99 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $99 $99 −$0 (-0%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? No 91¢ 87¢ $99 $95 −$4 (-4%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Toronto Tempo 46¢ 45¢ $80 $78 −$2 (-2%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes 20¢ 14¢ $100 $72 −$28 (-28%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $62 $62 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 80¢ 80¢ $55 $55 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 66¢ 69¢ $50 $52 +$2 (+5%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $50 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $50 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? No 14¢ 34¢ $20 $49 +$29 (+146%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +245%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $4 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +233%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $202 +$47 +23%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $32 −$29 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$214 +1010%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$20 +90%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$127 +243%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $53 −$28 -53%
Will SpaceX IPO on June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $64 −$61 -95%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $207 −$182 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$19 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$48 -93%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +148%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$23 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$3 +3%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Jun 12 $40 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$23 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +30%
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Jun 12 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$27 +66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $144 +$121 +84%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $110 +$15 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$138 +303%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$40 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$46 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$172 +304%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$15 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$15 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$21 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $113 +$87 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$6 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $20 +$21 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% +$8,114
other 23% −$159
sports 7% +$1,163
world 2% +$86
politics 1% −$24
tech 1% −$38
economics 0% −$11
finance 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $62 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $10 16m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 81¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $7 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $23 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $25 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 28m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $37 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $15 35m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 60¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 36m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 3¢ $11 38m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 90¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $23 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $11 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+50.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 613 +55.4% +40.6% 82% 52% +22.8%
≤30d 844 +66.7% +50.8% 79% 55% +19.0%
≤90d 844 +66.7% +50.8% 79% 55% +19.0%
all 844 +66.7% +50.8% 79% 55% +19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +50.8% 55% +19.0%
10% ← realistic here +36.4% 45% +7.6%
15% +23.2% 39% -2.8%
20% +11.1% 35% -12.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,697.69 · official $12,115.08 · 3500 history records