Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:18:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9edd…6fe3
other · 123 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$3,949 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,214 · open +$735
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,123
Realized+$3,214
Unrealized+$735
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses85 / 28
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions10
Markets (closed)113 / 123
History coverage98d
Avg bet$766
Trades / day5.5
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 10 History 113 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$600
7 days−$202
14 days−$202
30 days+$486
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 93¢ 96¢ $5,868 $6,087 +$219 (+4%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 94¢ 95¢ $1,691 $1,710 +$19 (+1%)
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 95¢ 98¢ $1,151 $1,188 +$37 (+3%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 70¢ 84¢ $566 $684 +$118 (+21%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 10¢ 64¢ $93 $582 +$489 (+525%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? Yes 64¢ 48¢ $384 $285 −$99 (-26%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 8¢ 14¢ $104 $183 +$79 (+76%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 49¢ 55¢ $147 $164 +$16 (+11%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 50¢ 25¢ $250 $125 −$125 (-50%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 17¢ 15¢ $133 $116 −$18 (-13%)
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? No 47¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $306 −$300 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $308 −$300 -98%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 10 $102 +$398 +392%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 27 $284 +$16 +6%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 27 $293 +$7 +2%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 27 $204 +$396 +194%
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 27 $2,068 +$132 +6%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 27 $3,393 +$107 +3%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 27 $4,318 +$86 +2%
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $607 +$13 +2%
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $680 +$20 +3%
Will Red Bull get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 24 $982 +$54 +6%
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $42 −$42 -99%
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? May 11 $100 $0 -0%
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? May 11 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? May 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 05 $359 +$11 +3%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 05 $360 +$40 +11%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? May 05 $2,254 +$146 +6%
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Pr Apr 16 $113 −$13 -12%
Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Apr 16 $172 −$14 -8%
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Apr 16 $395 −$90 -23%
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Apr 16 $580 −$50 -9%
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $383 +$16 +4%
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $1,800 +$124 +7%
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $3,795 +$110 +3%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $7,220 +$490 +7%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 01 $16 −$9 -54%
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Apr 01 $372 +$4 +1%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $720 +$275 +38%
Jimmy Lai released by June 30? Apr 01 $500 +$28 +6%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 01 $66 −$30 -46%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Apr 01 $14 +$4 +31%
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $500 +$87 +17%
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? Apr 01 $833 +$6 +1%
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $1,000 +$277 +28%
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? Apr 01 $488 +$312 +64%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Apr 01 $959 +$41 +4%
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day o Mar 31 $89 +$2 +2%
Will Google dip to $290 in March? Mar 29 $260 −$260 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March? Mar 29 $118 −$118 -100%
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship? Mar 29 $1,220 −$1,220 -100%
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand P Mar 29 $19 +$1 +6%
Who will finish higher: Bortoleto or Hulkenberg? Mar 29 $16 +$4 +25%
Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand P Mar 29 $24 $0 +1%
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 29 $10 +$36 +354%
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Mar 29 $263 +$84 +32%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? Mar 29 $348 +$31 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$992
world 24% +$3,119
culture 4% +$61
tech 1% −$208
finance 1% +$64
crypto 1% +$60
politics 1% −$139
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 50¢ $18 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 1h
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 49¢ $130 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 97¢ $400 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 17¢ $137 1h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 93¢ $1,305 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $77 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $16 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $276 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $23 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $345 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $0 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 92¢ $1,844 42h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $306 42h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 17¢ $308 42h
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 94¢ $79 3d
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 94¢ $109 3d
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 94¢ $188 3d
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 94¢ $753 3d
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 93¢ $465 3d
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 95¢ $155 4d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 4d
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 95¢ $4 4d
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 50¢ $152 4d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 8¢ $21 4d
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 8¢ $85 4d
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 95¢ $17 4d
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 95¢ $932 4d
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 95¢ $17 4d
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 94¢ $183 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +64.0% +48.3% 33% 33% -35.5%
≤30d 14 +15.4% +4.4% 71% 14% -6.3%
≤90d 89 -4.4% -13.5% 71% 18% -7.0%
all 113 +0.4% -9.2% 75% 22% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 22% -6.1%
10% -17.9% 14% -15.0%
15% -25.8% 11% -23.3%
20% -33.1% 6% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,123.43 · official $11,123.43 (match) · 627 history records