Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T21:17:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9edb…79eb crypto 74 markets active 3d ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$4 (-1%) realized −$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate80%59W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day35.7pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% −$16
other 13% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -4.4% -13.5% 80% 20% -11.0%
≤30d 74 -4.4% -13.5% 80% 20% -11.0%
≤90d 74 -4.4% -13.5% 80% 20% -11.0%
all 74 -4.4% -13.5% 80% 20% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 20% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 12% -19.5%
15% -29.3% 11% -27.3%
20% -36.3% 7% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +24% → late -33% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$5 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses59 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)74 / 74
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 74 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $7 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $7 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $7 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $7 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $12 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $6 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $11 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $11 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 3d
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $11 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3d
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $9 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $9 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 164 history records