Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:10:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9eda…6e19
other · 451 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,162 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,267 · open −$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$108
Realized−$1,267
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses29 / 362
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$34
Open positions12
Markets (closed)391 / 451
History coverage28d
Avg bet$59
Trades / day83.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%
Chart Positions 12 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$204
7 days−$550
14 days−$880
30 days−$1,267
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 79¢ 68¢ $36 $31 −$5 (-14%)
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 88¢ 47¢ $53 $28 −$25 (-47%)
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? No 39¢ 39¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11? Yes 77¢ 70¢ $23 $21 −$2 (-9%)
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? No 29¢ 8¢ $5 $2 −$4 (-72%)
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Will Cap launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 89¢ 2¢ $23 $1 −$23 (-98%)
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-67%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-42%)
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-77%)
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%? Yes 3¢ 10¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+245%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? Jun 13 $124 −$2 -2%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $1,420 −$11 -1%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Jun 13 $153 −$7 -5%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Jun 13 $1,398 −$21 -2%
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $62 −$1 -2%
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31? Jun 13 $50 $0 -0%
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Jun 13 $142 −$1 -1%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $61 −$1 -1%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 13 $53 −$5 -9%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States vs. Paragua Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Korea Jun 13 $7 +$1 +15%
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in June? Jun 13 $29 $0 +0%
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? Jun 13 $61 −$1 -2%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $55 −$1 -2%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov Jun 12 $1 +$4 +429%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AN Jun 12 $13 +$2 +16%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026- Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Spread: United States (-1.5) AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-0 Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 Jun 12 $14 +$4 +31%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026? Jun 12 $56 $0 -0%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 12 $1,356 −$73 -5%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND W Jun 12 $15 $0 -1%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 12 $72 −$3 -4%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by June 30? Jun 12 $31 $0 -0%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $62 −$1 -1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $4 $0 -3%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 12 $39 −$1 -2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 Jun 12 $15 +$4 +27%
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? Jun 12 $49 −$4 -8%
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $60 −$1 -2%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 12 $947 −$41 -4%
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? Jun 11 $40 −$1 -2%
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? Jun 11 $10 −$2 -16%
Will Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 11 $114 −$13 -11%
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? Jun 11 $0 $0 -3%
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? Jun 11 $141 −$1 -1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by June 30? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$799
politics 14% −$234
sports 13% −$29
world 12% −$103
finance 9% −$67
tech 8% −$73
culture 1% −$7
crypto 1% −$15
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 30¢ $1 13m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 71¢ $2 14m
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? BUY No 93¢ $56 14m
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 14m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 54¢ $2 29m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 72¢ $2 30m
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 97¢ $2 43m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $49 45m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $11 45m
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? SELL No 25¢ $15 47m
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 33¢ $20 47m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 80¢ $2 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 46¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 54¢ $2 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL No 91¢ $50 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL No 92¢ $5 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 92¢ $55 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 54¢ $2 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $49 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $11 1h
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? SELL No 91¢ $54 1h
NBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game? BUY No 93¢ $56 1h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY Yes 67¢ $40 1h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 34¢ $20 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $12 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $49 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? A BUY 72¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 54¢ $2 2h
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by July 31? BUY Yes 57¢ $29 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -1.6% -11.0% 16% 10% -13.1%
≤30d 391 -8.3% -17.1% 7% 5% -14.0%
≤90d 391 -8.3% -17.1% 7% 5% -14.0%
all 391 -8.3% -17.1% 7% 5% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.1% 5% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 3% -22.2%
15% -32.3% 2% -29.7%
20% -38.9% 2% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $107.96 · official $281.46 · 2722 history records