Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:16:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ed5…51a5
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses4 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day35.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$5 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$6 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +126%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +5.1% -4.9% 36% 36% -26.7%
≤30d 11 +5.1% -4.9% 36% 36% -26.7%
≤90d 11 +5.1% -4.9% 36% 36% -26.7%
all 11 +5.1% -4.9% 36% 36% -26.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 36% -26.7%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 36% -33.7%
15% -22.3% 36% -40.1%
20% -29.9% 36% -46.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 37 history records