Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:56:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ecd…5ee8
crypto · 232 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$447 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$447 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$447
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses119 / 113
Open positions0
Markets (closed)232 / 232
History coverage2d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day245.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$447
7 days−$447
14 days−$447
30 days−$447
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $45 +$36 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$49 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$16 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$43 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$14 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$14 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$9 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$46 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$8 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$12 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$14 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$11 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$13 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$14 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $44 +$22 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$15 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$44 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$9 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$20 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$33 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$28 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$49 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$22 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$44 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$53 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$44 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$10 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$15 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$447
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $25 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $11 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $12 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $19 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $24 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $14 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $10 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $18 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $25 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $13 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 232 -9.4% -18.1% 51% 50% -14.7%
≤30d 232 -9.4% -18.1% 51% 50% -14.7%
≤90d 232 -9.4% -18.1% 51% 50% -14.7%
all 232 -9.4% -18.1% 51% 50% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover245.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 50% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.9% 49% -22.8%
15% -33.1% 48% -30.3%
20% -39.6% 38% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 512 history records