trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -10.4% | -19.0% | 43% | 14% | -7.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -10.4% | -19.0% | 43% | 14% | -7.4% |
| all | 25 | +5.9% | -4.2% | 52% | 8% | -5.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.2% | 8% | -5.6% |
| 10% | -13.4% | 4% | -14.6% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 4% | -22.8% |
| 20% | -29.4% | 4% | -30.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $55 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $114 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $48 | −$1 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 12 | $77 | +$4 | +5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $19 | +$4 | +22% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 13 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 13 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 09 | $5 | +$15 | +340% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | Apr 05 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28? | Mar 30 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will another coalition form the next German Government? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Alto Knights' gross less than 5-7m on opening weekend? | Mar 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | Mar 17 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting? | Mar 15 | $2 | $0 | -2% |