Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:46:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9eca…da71 crypto 1392 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (136 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$48 (+0%) realized −$594 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate69%962W / 441L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day136.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$110
7 days−$157
14 days−$318
30 days−$594
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$451
sports 0% −$29
other 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (136 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 -3.5% -12.7% 70% 43% -13.6%
≤30d 1403 -4.0% -13.1% 69% 43% -12.9%
≤90d 1403 -4.0% -13.1% 69% 43% -12.9%
all 1403 -4.0% -13.1% 69% 43% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover136.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.1% 43% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.4% 20% -21.2%
15% -29.0% 11% -28.8%
20% -36.0% 7% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
33% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.36 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$594
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses962 / 441
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1403 / 1392
History coverage21d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day136.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1403 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Spurs 67¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$6 -197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $8 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $13 −$6 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$6 +178%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +204%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $13 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $5 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $11 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $9 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records