trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $7 | $6 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Up | 80¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $197 | $0 | −$197 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $77 | $0 | −$77 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $80 | $0 | −$80 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $22 | −$8 | -36% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$3 | -27% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $11 | +$9 | +80% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $77 | −$77 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $55 | +$49 | +89% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $8 | −$3 | -41% |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 13 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $67 | −$40 | -60% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? | Jun 11 | $202 | −$197 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 11 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 11 | $82 | −$80 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | Apr 08 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Apr 08 | $34 | +$7 | +19% |
| Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 7? | Apr 07 | $22 | +$5 | +24% |
| Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $22 | −$1 | -2% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -53.5% | -57.9% | 15% | 15% | -73.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -53.5% | -57.9% | 15% | 15% | -73.0% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -44.4% | -49.7% | 24% | 24% | -66.2% |
| all | 17 | -44.4% | -49.7% | 24% | 24% | -66.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.7% | 24% | -66.2% |
| 10% | -54.5% | 18% | -69.5% |
| 15% | -58.9% | 12% | -72.4% |
| 20% | -62.9% | 12% | -75.1% |