trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -17.6% | -25.5% | 38% | 31% | +8.3% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 31% | 25% | +1.7% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 31% | 25% | +1.7% |
| all | 16 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 31% | 25% | +1.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.5% | 25% | +1.7% |
| 10% | -45.2% | 25% | -8.0% |
| 15% | -50.5% | 25% | -16.9% |
| 20% | -55.4% | 19% | -25.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+11%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-18%) |
| Spread: France (-2.5) | France | 15¢ | 12¢ | $8 | $7 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 37¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-42%) |
| Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $51 | −$5 | -10% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $3 | +$2 | +65% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $15 | −$4 | -24% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $70 | +$32 | +45% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $20 | +$29 | +143% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $30 | −$10 | -34% |
| Will Trump say "America" during UFC 250? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "UFC" 3+ times during UFC 250? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Uranium" this week? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $43 | +$35 | +82% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | Jun 03 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |