Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ec2…bd08
sports · 765 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$12,349 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open −$183
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,638
Realized−$177
Unrealized−$183
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses304 / 455
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$3,678
Open positions6
Markets (closed)759 / 765
History coverage34d
Avg bet$291
Trades / day80.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 759 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,899
7 days−$3,368
14 days+$2,387
30 days+$1,565
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ 100¢ $450 $1,250 +$800 (+178%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 59¢ 100¢ $450 $764 +$314 (+70%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Martin Damm 65¢ 100¢ $363 $558 +$195 (+54%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Katie Volynets 33¢ 100¢ $102 $307 +$205 (+201%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 32¢ 30¢ $259 $244 −$15 (-6%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 51¢ 48¢ $250 $238 −$12 (-5%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Petra Marcinko vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 26¢ 28¢ $207 $223 +$16 (+8%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Katerina Siniakova vs Yue Yuan Yue Yuan 26¢ 13¢ $64 $32 −$32 (-50%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 26¢ 8¢ $76 $22 −$54 (-71%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Panna Udvardy 38¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Anna Bondar 40¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Lorenzo Sonego 62¢ 0¢ $271 $0 −$271 (-100%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ 0¢ $450 $0 −$450 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $456 +$314 +69%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $367 +$195 +53%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $732 −$271 -37%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $458 −$450 -98%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $104 +$205 +197%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $459 −$450 -98%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 14 $96 +$134 +140%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $74 −$74 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 14 $128 −$128 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 14 $313 +$116 +37%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $308 +$31 +10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $241 +$199 +83%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 14 $410 +$110 +27%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $186 −$186 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $455 +$299 +66%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 14 $547 +$293 +54%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $609 +$55 +9%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $457 −$457 -100%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Jun 14 $912 −$295 -32%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 14 $458 +$759 +166%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,497 −$210 -14%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 14 $459 −$459 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $60 +$94 +158%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $136 −$136 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $247 −$247 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Jun 13 $248 +$218 +88%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $250 +$300 +120%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $519 +$307 +59%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $718 +$124 +17%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $906 +$234 +26%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $968 −$394 -41%
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $287 +$108 +38%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $250 −$250 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $686 +$6 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $486 −$486 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $237 −$90 -38%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $198 −$198 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $279 +$359 +128%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $229 −$229 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $252 +$468 +185%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $308 −$308 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $483 −$483 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$360
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 59¢ $456 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Martin Damm 65¢ $367 4h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 26¢ $126 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Ella Seidel 26¢ $78 5h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 62¢ $274 5h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 40¢ $139 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 53¢ $124 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 30¢ $51 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 37¢ $53 5h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 37¢ $166 6h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 37¢ $168 6h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ $57 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ $133 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ $134 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Nikoloz Basilashvili 36¢ $135 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ $44 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ $96 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ $96 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ $111 7h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ $112 7h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Los Angeles Sparks 42¢ $144 12h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 37¢ $163 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 37¢ $99 12h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 32¢ $62 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 55¢ $456 13h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 28¢ $134 13h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 29¢ $191 14h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 48¢ $250 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $453 15h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 74¢ $264 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 -13.0% -21.2% 41% 38% -14.3%
≤30d 724 -5.9% -14.9% 40% 38% -8.9%
≤90d 759 -4.5% -13.6% 40% 38% -9.6%
all 759 -4.5% -13.6% 40% 38% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover80.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 38% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 37% -18.2%
15% -29.4% 34% -26.1%
20% -36.4% 31% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,637.90 · official $3,617.78 (match) · 3500 history records