Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ebc…ad77
crypto · 35 markets active 505d ago
0.0score
+$29,197 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29,197 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$29,197
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses13 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)35 / 35
Avg bet$5,457
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? No 0¢ 0¢ $1,537 $0 −$1,537 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March? Jan 23 $59 −$21 -36%
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction? Jan 23 $728 −$530 -73%
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24? Jan 23 $750 −$400 -53%
TikTok on the App Store again by Monday? Jan 22 $944 +$173 +18%
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? Jan 21 $4,101 −$3,342 -82%
Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $93 −$93 -100%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration? Jan 21 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? Jan 21 $250 +$51 +20%
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration? Jan 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? Jan 20 $7 −$6 -90%
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? Jan 17 $846 +$48 +6%
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31? Jan 15 $4,512 −$560 -12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 10 $2,229 −$285 -13%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 10 $7,961 −$1,146 -14%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 10 $567 −$219 -38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 10 $480 −$97 -20%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10? Jan 08 $22,225 +$2,739 +12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? Jan 08 $74 +$2 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31? Jan 08 $106 +$12 +11%
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10? Jan 08 $2,464 +$87 +4%
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? Jan 08 $68 +$2 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by March 31? Jan 08 $182 +$5 +3%
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? Jan 07 $187 −$16 -8%
Trump's January 10 sentencing pushed back? Jan 04 $1,040 −$21 -2%
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? Jan 04 $298 −$9 -3%
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by January 15? Jan 04 $1,665 −$60 -4%
MicroStrategy purchases more Bitcoin before inauguration? Jan 04 $450 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday? Dec 22 $9,033 +$3,764 +42%
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? Dec 22 $555 −$33 -6%
Will Biden finish his term? Dec 22 $189 −$1 -0%
Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024? Dec 22 $200 +$28 +14%
Will there be a US Government shutdown? Dec 21 $60,589 −$11,844 -20%
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20? Dec 21 $47,099 +$7,802 +17%
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? Dec 19 $20,985 +$33,223 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 50% +$12,272
politics 34% −$12,542
world 13% +$32,662
tech 3% −$3,196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March? SELL No 38¢ $38 504d
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction? SELL No 6¢ $92 504d
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24? SELL Yes 35¢ $350 504d
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24? BUY Yes 75¢ $23 506d
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24? BUY Yes 75¢ $727 506d
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March? BUY No 59¢ $59 506d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 0¢ $1,537 506d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? SELL No 0¢ $758 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 0¢ $39 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 0¢ $1 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 0¢ $72 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 0¢ $400 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $350 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $99 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $44 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $0 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $1 507d
Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech? BUY No 79¢ $40 507d
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 507d
Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech? BUY No 78¢ $54 507d
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? BUY No 83¢ $250 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $70 507d
Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? BUY Yes 20¢ $7 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $720 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $80 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $4 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $0 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $90 507d
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? BUY No 1¢ $155 507d
TikTok on the App Store again by Monday? BUY No 84¢ $450 507d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-24.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 35 -16.6% -24.6% 37% 23% +5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.6% 23% +5.4%
10% ← realistic here -31.8% 6% -4.7%
15% -38.4% 6% -13.9%
20% -44.4% 3% -22.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 523 history records