Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:48:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9ea2…fd03
crypto · 31 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses19 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)30 / 31
History coverage14d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$1
14 days−$6
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer No 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +6%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 02 $1 $0 +18%
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 30 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $1 +$1 +89%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer May 29 $1 −$1 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$5
other 23% −$3
sports 7% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 14¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 6h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 30h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 30h
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 31h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +0.6% -9.0% 74% 43% -10.1%
≤30d 30 -12.7% -21.0% 63% 40% -23.2%
≤90d 30 -12.7% -21.0% 63% 40% -23.2%
all 30 -12.7% -21.0% 63% 40% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.0% 40% -23.2%
10% -28.5% 27% -30.6%
15% -35.4% 17% -37.3%
20% -41.8% 13% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.98 · official $0.98 (match) · 65 history records