Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:02:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e97…dab1
crypto · 80 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$208 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$216 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88
Realized−$216
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses25 / 47
Open positions8
Markets (closed)72 / 80
History coverage133d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 8 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$19
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $33 $40 +$7 (+22%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 52¢ 52¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+12%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$19 +172%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $56 −$33 -59%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $22 +$13 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Feb 14 $18 −$8 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Feb 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Feb 14 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Feb 14 $25 −$9 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Feb 14 $7 −$5 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Feb 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Feb 14 $30 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Feb 14 $5 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Feb 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 14 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Feb 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Feb 14 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Feb 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Feb 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Feb 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Feb 13 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Feb 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Feb 13 $22 +$19 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Feb 13 $56 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Feb 13 $133 −$50 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Feb 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? Feb 13 $166 +$19 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Feb 13 $60 +$9 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Feb 13 $30 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Feb 13 $37 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Feb 13 $40 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Feb 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Feb 13 $63 −$5 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Feb 13 $156 +$11 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Feb 13 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Feb 13 $40 +$26 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Feb 13 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Feb 13 $90 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Feb 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Feb 13 $55 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Feb 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Feb 13 $34 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Feb 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Feb 13 $20 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Feb 13 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Feb 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Feb 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Feb 13 $4 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Feb 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Feb 13 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Feb 13 $25 +$15 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Feb 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$234
other 8% +$7
economics 8% +$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $4 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $6 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $5 1h
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 8h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $4 2d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $7 2d
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? BUY Yes 5¢ $7 3d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 20¢ $13 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 26¢ $22 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL Yes 25¢ $21 12d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 23¢ $20 12d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? SELL Yes 54¢ $35 12d
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 33¢ $22 12d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $3 17d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $31 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $8 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $7 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 117d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 117d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-50.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +172.5% +146.6% 100% 100% +146.6%
≤30d 3 +45.2% +31.4% 67% 67% -10.9%
≤90d 3 +45.2% +31.4% 67% 67% -10.9%
all 72 -44.8% -50.1% 35% 22% -21.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -50.1% 22% -21.5%
10% -54.9% 18% -29.0%
15% -59.2% 15% -35.9%
20% -63.2% 14% -42.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $87.59 · official $87.59 (match) · 232 history records