Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T03:46:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9e95…dff8 crypto 213 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (100 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3,707 (+26%) realized +$3,707 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate45%95W / 118L
Drawdown59%max
Avg bet$67per market
Trades / day100.1pace
Kalshi-fit90%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$324
7 days−$140
14 days+$1,458
30 days+$3,424
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 82% +$3,706
other 18% −$281
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (100 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -31.0% -37.5% 26% 26% -10.8%
≤30d 213 -0.2% -9.7% 45% 43% +12.4%
≤90d 213 -0.2% -9.7% 45% 43% +12.4%
all 213 -0.2% -9.7% 45% 43% +12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover100.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 43% +12.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 38% +1.6%
15% -26.2% 33% -8.2%
20% -33.5% 25% -17.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +24% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +24% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +31% → late -31% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
9.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$90 vs −$43 · ×2.08 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.67 per $1 lost it wins $1.67
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,707
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses95 / 118
Open positions0
Markets (closed)213 / 213
History coverage21d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day100.1
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit90%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 213 Trades
no open positions (36 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 18 $64 −$64 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $28 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $212 +$87 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 18 $24 −$22 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $243 +$84 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $79 +$507 +646%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $213 −$208 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3AM ET Jun 16 $349 +$89 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $19 −$19 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $11 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$36 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$11 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $138 +$176 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $233 +$115 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$143 +552%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$24 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9PM ET Jun 14 $145 +$153 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $129 +$176 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $152 +$102 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $134 −$133 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Jun 14 $145 +$76 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$95 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $73 −$68 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $106 −$104 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$282 +1274%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$124 +357%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $0 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $38 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $33 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2321 history records