Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:14:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e8c…feaf
crypto · 252 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses141 / 111
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day21.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$20
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 71¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 56¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 55¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 64¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 63¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 35¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 67¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 61¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +129%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +351%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +331%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +12.6% +1.9% 64% 62% +2.7%
≤30d 252 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 54% -10.6%
≤90d 252 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 54% -10.6%
all 252 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 54% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 54% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 52% -19.2%
15% -27.1% 49% -27.0%
20% -34.3% 41% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 407 history records