Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:49:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e8b…9158
crypto · 33 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses19 / 12
Open positions2
Markets (closed)31 / 33
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 2 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +293%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$4
other 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $12 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $6 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 49m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $4 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 54m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +10.0% -0.5% 61% 48% -11.7%
≤30d 31 +10.0% -0.5% 61% 48% -11.7%
≤90d 31 +10.0% -0.5% 61% 48% -11.7%
all 31 +10.0% -0.5% 61% 48% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.5% 48% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -10.0% 42% -20.2%
15% -18.7% 23% -27.9%
20% -26.7% 19% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.95 · official $4.95 (match) · 88 history records