Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T02:26:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0

score

9E 0x9e8a…9899 crypto 20 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d

BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ bot/MM pace (161 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real! limited sample (<25 closed)

Total PnL +$60 (+9%) realized +$60 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +16% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip

Net edge-10%after slip

Net WR50%break-even

Win rate50%10W / 10L

Drawdown7%max

Avg bet$33per market

Trades / day161.0pace

Kalshi-fit100%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

uncopyable — bot pace (161 trades/day)

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +50%

net ROI/market (all)+5.2%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	20	+16.3%	+5.2%	50%	50%	+42.2%
≤30d	20	+16.3%	+5.2%	50%	50%	+42.2%
≤90d	20	+16.3%	+5.2%	50%	50%	+42.2%
all	20	+16.3%	+5.2%	50%	50%	+42.2%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover161.0 tr/day

realistic slip~13%

edge survives to5%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal	+5.2%	50%	+42.2%
10% ← realistic here	-4.9%	50%	+28.6%
15%	-14.1%	45%	+16.2%
20%	-22.5%	35%	+4.8%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 29% · top 2 49% broad-based profit

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +57% fresh edge ✓

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip solid win margins

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +16% · $-wt +57% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early +22% → late +11% edge persists early→late

Add-ons / DCA

3.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer

Win / loss size

+$46 vs −$8 · ×5.94 wins bigger than losses

Profit factor

×5.94 per $1 lost it wins $5.94

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized+$60

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)50%

Wins / losses10 / 10

Open positions0

Markets (closed)20 / 20

History coverage1d

Avg bet$33

Trades / day161.0

Drawdown7%

Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 20 Trades

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Jun 28	$3	+$4	+163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Jun 28	$2	−$2	-100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Jun 28	$8	−$8	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Jun 28	$193	+$90	+47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Jun 28	$72	+$35	+49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Jun 28	$8	+$2	+25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Jun 28	$5	−$5	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Jun 28	$14	+$46	+325%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Jun 28	$14	−$14	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Jun 28	$6	−$6	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Jun 27	$183	+$134	+73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Jun 27	$8	−$8	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Jun 27	$1	−$1	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Jun 27	$8	−$5	-65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Jun 27	$36	+$65	+181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Jun 27	$25	+$16	+62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Jun 27	$8	+$20	+264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Jun 27	$47	+$47	+101%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Jun 27	$24	−$24	-100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Jun 27	$5	−$5	-100%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	SELL Up	99¢	$0	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$2	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$2	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$2	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$0	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	BUY Up	44¢	$1	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	BUY Up	25¢	$2	16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	BUY Up	6¢	$1	36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	BUY Up	7¢	$1	36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	99¢	$1	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	89¢	$20	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$4	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$25	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	89¢	$7	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$16	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$20	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$23	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$4	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$3	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$1	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$4	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$92	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$4	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$34	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$5	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$4	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$6	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL Up	85¢	$1	1h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 177 history records