Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:14:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

9E
0x9e80…f694
sports · 262 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$25,369 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$21,146 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$47,057
Realized+$21,146
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses190 / 59
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$2,493
Open positions12
Markets (closed)249 / 262
History coverage74d
Avg bet$7,719
Trades / day42.3
Drawdown6%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 12 History 249 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$232
7 days+$2,091
14 days+$6,498
30 days+$11,938
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $22,931 $22,988 +$58 (+0%)
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? No 95¢ 96¢ $6,726 $6,765 +$39 (+1%)
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? No 95¢ 96¢ $5,010 $5,027 +$17 (+0%)
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken? No 96¢ 95¢ $4,190 $4,125 −$65 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 96¢ 96¢ $3,109 $3,103 −$6 (-0%)
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? No 94¢ 96¢ $2,213 $2,253 +$40 (+2%)
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No 31¢ 36¢ $719 $828 +$109 (+15%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 86¢ 74¢ $895 $764 −$131 (-15%)
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 80¢ 74¢ $785 $732 −$54 (-7%)
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No 52¢ 48¢ $347 $322 −$25 (-7%)
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup? No 70¢ 68¢ $123 $120 −$3 (-2%)
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No 26¢ 44¢ $17 $28 +$12 (+69%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $77 −$77 -100%
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Jun 13 $8,976 +$309 +3%
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 12 $6,932 +$9 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $77,844 +$111 +0%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $21,399 +$21 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $51 +$25 +50%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Leandro Riedi Jun 11 $1,117 $0 +0%
Will Vitinha win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1,103 −$18 -2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $617 +$11 +2%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $11,863 +$167 +1%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $839 +$10 +1%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,819 +$37 +2%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $20 −$19 -95%
Exact Score: Equatorial Guinea 0 - 0 Comoros? Jun 10 $2,351 +$52 +2%
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Stojsavljevic (+1.5) Jun 09 $56 $0 +0%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 09 $67 $0 -0%
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by Jun Jun 09 $23,250 +$24 +0%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Pl Jun 09 $487 +$15 +3%
Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $78 +$72 +92%
Stuttgart Open: Tommy Paul vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jun 08 $12,000 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $92 +$26 +28%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $186 −$43 -23%
Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros: Draw at halftime? Jun 08 $9,425 +$263 +3%
Will Equatorial Guinea vs. Comoros end in a draw? Jun 08 $3,713 +$233 +6%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $29,729 +$747 +2%
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 08 $69,860 +$112 +0%
Rebecca Sramkova vs. Tara Wurth: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $147 $0 +0%
Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Jun 04 $1,953 $0 -0%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $108,342 +$1,804 +2%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $509 +$27 +5%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $1,007 +$16 +2%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $9,967 +$487 +5%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $39 +$1 +3%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $46 +$1 +2%
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) Jun 02 $5,838 +$1,608 +28%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 02 $8,912 +$515 +6%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $32 +$8 +26%
Will Harry Kane have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champi Jun 02 $859 −$798 -93%
Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch? Jun 02 $380 −$380 -100%
Perugia: Remy Bertola vs Francesco Maestrelli Jun 02 $73 $0 +0%
Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $1,576 +$16 +1%
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $1,297 +$6 +0%
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $493 +$7 +1%
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $8,168 +$234 +3%
Over $200M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $3,589 +$7 +0%
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $8,465 +$251 +3%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? Jun 01 $46,144 +$143 +0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 01 $273,038 $0 +0%
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $19,468 +$453 +2%
Will Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Cha May 31 $5,158 +$42 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 35% +$4,251
other 24% +$3,766
politics 17% −$228
sports 15% +$11,403
crypto 8% +$1,947
finance 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1,920 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 96¢ $1,189 1h
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $133 30h
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $62 31h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 100¢ $22,931 32h
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $0 2d
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $0 2d
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $1 2d
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $0 2d
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $0 2d
World Cup: Largest Margin of Victory Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $1 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $136 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $8 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $7 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $97 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $9 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $13 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $19 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $1,359 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 98¢ $2,180 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 98¢ $51 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 98¢ $153 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 98¢ $61 2d
World Cup: Highest Scoring Match Record Broken? BUY No 94¢ $150 2d
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? BUY Yes 97¢ $15 2d
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 100¢ $6,941 2d
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $6,932 2d
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? BUY No 92¢ $14 2d
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken? BUY No 93¢ $930 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-0.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.8% -10.3% 73% 12% -8.9%
≤30d 88 +9.3% -1.1% 77% 19% -8.5%
≤90d 249 +10.4% -0.1% 76% 11% -8.6%
all 249 +10.4% -0.1% 76% 11% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.1% 11% -8.6%
10% -9.7% 8% -17.3%
15% ← realistic here -18.4% 6% -25.3%
20% -26.4% 4% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $47,057.45 · official $47,057.45 (match) · 3500 history records