Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T22:53:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
9E 0x9e7a…2cda crypto 525 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (211 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$388 (+6%) realized +$390 · open −$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate34%180W / 344L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day210.8pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days+$470
14 days−$109
30 days−$109
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% +$147
weather 4% −$161
other 2% −$24
sports 2% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (211 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 -7.1% -15.9% 28% 25% +12.9%
≤30d 524 -8.6% -17.3% 34% 30% -11.2%
≤90d 524 -8.6% -17.3% 34% 30% -11.2%
all 524 -8.6% -17.3% 34% 30% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover210.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 30% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 27% -19.7%
15% -32.4% 24% -27.5%
20% -39.0% 22% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$7 · ×1.82 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$390
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses180 / 344
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)524 / 525
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day210.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 524 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $9 +$11 +122%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$4 +567%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$22 +733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $5 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.10 (match) · 3500 history records